August 26, 2005 Stats
Canada: Estimate of production of principal field crops
Data from the annual July Farm Survey of 17,600 farmers revealed a mixed picture for two major producing regions. In Quebec and Ontario, generally hot and dry weather with spotty rainfall, especially in southern Ontario, served to stunt crops and reduce farmers' production expectations for corn and soybeans. In the West, soil moisture levels during the survey period were generally good, with the exception of southern Manitoba, where severe flooding prohibited completion of seeding in some areas and drowned out entire fields of young plants in others. In Saskatchewan and Alberta, farmers reported strong and in some cases record production estimates. Prairie farmers nervously await the harvest, hoping that conditions will remain favourable until then.
Saskatchewan farmers estimate a potential production increase of 1.1 million tonnes to a record 4.0 million tonnes in 2005. Alberta farmers expect a more modest production increase of 127,000 tonnes to 3.1 million tonnes. These increases would primarily be the result of a greater area devoted to canola in 2005, and in the case of Saskatchewan, a record yield. On the other hand, adverse conditions in Manitoba should result in a 36.0% production decline to 1.1 million tonnes. Major reductions in both area and yield were reported. The 10-year average production in Manitoba is 1.5 million tonnes. Flaxseed
production could double The increase in Saskatchewan was fueled by a strong rise in yield and a record harvested area of 1.6 million acres, which combined to produce a potential record production of 835,700 tonnes. The previous record was 711,200 tonnes set in 1999. Saskatchewan accounts for 80.0% of the flaxseed grown. Spring
wheat production down slightly Saskatchewan and Alberta farmers estimated small increases in production this year, while farmers in Manitoba expected production to fall 33.1% to 2.2 million tonnes as a result of adverse weather conditions. The 10-year average in Manitoba is 3.4 million tonnes. Durum
production nudges up Farmers in all three Prairie provinces expect to see production increases this year. Over three-quarters of Canadian durum is grown in Saskatchewan. Barley,
oat production dips slightly Oat production in
the Prairie provinces is expected to slip 0.7% to 3.2 million tonnes.
The 10-year average is 3.1 million tonnes. Field
pea area down overall but a record high in Saskatchewan Field pea production has grown rapidly in the last two years. The recent five-year average production is only 2.3 million tonnes. A review at the provincial level tells a diverging story. Manitoba pea production may drop by 51.1% to 78 300 tonnes. This is the lowest production estimate since 1990. Production in Saskatchewan reached a new record of 2.5 million tonnes, breaking the record set in 2004. The 2005 production estimate is up 1.5% from 2004. Harvested area was a record 2.7 million acres, up 160,000 from the 2004 record area. Alberta production could fall 9.5%, the result of a decrease in estimated harvested area. Ontario,
Quebec farmers should produce less grain corn and soybeans Quebec farmers estimate corn production to fall 5.8% to 3.3 million tonnes, as a result of smaller harvested area and lower estimated yield. The 10-year average production estimate is 2.7 million tonnes. Soybean production in Quebec may also decline by 2.9% from 2004 to 505,000 tonnes, the result of a lower estimated harvested area. The 10-year average production value is 359,200 tonnes. In Ontario, production estimates for corn are down 9.5% to 4.8 million tonnes, the result of smaller harvested area and lower yield. The 10-year average is 5.3 million tonnes. Soybean production may drop 3.3% from the 2004 record to 2.4 million tonnes in 2005, the result of a decline in yield. Soybean production has fluctuated significantly over the decade, ranging from 1.3 million tonnes in 2001 to 2.5 million tonnes in 2004.
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